The lovely tale of Liquor
during Lockdown and before
At every stage, addiction is driven by one of the most powerful, mysterious, and
vital forces of human existence. What drives addiction is longing —
a longing not just of brain, belly, or loins but finally of the heart.
Cornelius Platinga
The use of alcohol in India for drinking purposes dates back to somewhere between 3000 and 2000 BC. An alcoholic beverage called Sura which was distilled from the rice was popular at that time in India for common men to unwind at the end of a stressful day. . Yet the first mention of Alcohol appears in Rig Veda (1700BC). It mentions intoxicants like soma and prahamana. Although the soma plant might not exist today, it was famous for delivering a euphoric high. It was also recorded in the Samhita, the medical compendium of Sushruta that he who drinks soma will not age and will be impervious to fire, poison, or weapon attack. The sweet juice of Soma was also said to help establish a connection with the gods. Such was the popularity of alcohol. Initially used for medicinal purposes, with time it evolved and became the beverage that brought life to social gatherings, and eventually consuming alcohol has become a habit for many.
With such a rich history of not just humans but also of the gods,
what is a worldwide pandemic to stop anybody from drinking?
. . .
According to a report released by the World Health Organisation (WHO) in 2018, an average Indian drinks approximately 5.7 liters of alcohol every year. In a population of casual and excessive drinkers, with the shutters of liquor stores down, it must have been extremely difficult for “certain” people to survive lockdown. In the first two phases of lockdown, the desperation had quadrupled prices of alcohol in the Grey Market of India. Also, According to Google Trends, online searches for “how to make alcohol at home” peaked in India during the fourth week of March, which was the same when the lockdown was announced. As a consequence, a few people died drinking home-brewed liquor. People committed suicide due to alcohol withdrawal syndrome. Owing to the worsening situation and to reboot the economy, some states decided to open licensed liquor stores in the third phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic lockdown in India. This decision was the worst best decision the state governments could take. The kilometer-long queues in front of liquor stores were evidence that a pandemic can turn your life upside down yet your relationship with alcohol cannot move an inch.
The love in the hearts of those who are addicted was explicit. We might have seen addiction, we might have witnessed desperation but what happened in the month of May was madness, not just in terms of the way people pounced but also in the way the government earned. According to a report by Hindustan Times, on the first day of the third phase of Lockdown, the Indian state of Uttar Pradesh recorded a sale of over Rs 100 Crore from liquor. On the second day of the reopening of Liquor stores, Karnataka reported sales of 197 crores in a single day which was the largest ever. Eventually, the prices of Liquor were hiked to 100% to discourage people from drinking.
. . .
There was a special corona fee that was imposed in Delhi by Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal. A 70% corona fee was imposed in Delhi, yet the sales did not drop. The entire situation was a disaster for the law enforcement officers, social distancing was easily abandoned and a basic code of conduct was happily violated. Despite the chaos created, the states continued to collect revenues. Home delivery of alcohol was allowed in Maharashtra and e-tokens were sold in Delhi.
Demand for liquor is inelastic which means that
the sale of alcohol is not much responsive to change in prices.
In general, since alcohol policy is a state subject in India, revenue from Liquor is a cash cow for state governments. In 2018 and 2019, four states collectively collected about 20,000 crores in taxes from the sale of liquor. As much as the state earns from the sale of Liquor it is undoubtedly, a threat to the Economy. Consumption of alcohol has dire health consequences. When a person consumes an alcoholic beverage, there is a rise in BAC because of which there is a gradual and progressive loss of driving ability because of an increase in reaction time, overconfidence, degraded muscle coordination, impaired concentration, and decreased auditory and visual acuity. This is known as drunken driving. (V. M. Anantha Eashwar, 2020) Drunken driving is the third biggest cause of road accidents and over speeding in India. Road accidents are not it; alcoholism causes sleep problems, heart, and liver issues. Also, it is not about an individual’s life, it ruins the lives of all people concerned.
Addiction also causes economic loss. In 2000, Vivek Benegal and his team assessed 113 patients admitted to a special de-addiction service for alcohol dependence. They found that
the average individual earned a mean of ₹1,661 but
spent ₹1,938 per month on alcohol, incurring high debt.
They also found that 95% did not work for about 14 days in a month. They concluded that it led to a loss of ₹13,823 per person per year in terms of foregone productivity. A more recent study, Health Impact and Economic Burden of Alcohol Consumption in India, led by Gaurav Jyani, concluded that alcohol-attributable deaths would lead to a loss of 258 million life-years between 2011 and 2050. The study placed the economic burden on the health system at $48.11 billion, and the societal burden (including health costs, productivity loss, and so on) at $1,867 billion. “This amounts to an average loss of 1.45% of the gross domestic product (GDP) per year to the Indian economy,” the study said. (Mint, 2020)
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Corona Bonds in European Union
The 2008-2012 crisis that the European Union suffered due to the disastrous balance of payment issues and faulty mechanisms to handle the economy led the European Union in a very long and severe debt crisis. Another main cause of this debt crisis was the lack of common eurozone institutions to efficiently assimilate shocks.
The coronavirus, which emerged from a small city of China affected and is still affecting the whole world and devastating thousands of lives each day while disrupting the economy in every corner of the world and likewise pushed the EU economy way further back. During March and April, countries like Italy, UK, US, and Spain almost crested the coronavirus cases which ruined their economies, with no cash flow, no direct revenue streams, and heavy expenditure on the medicinal industry, on its people, these countries were looking for ways of financing. While countries like the US which have better contacts with the world bank, they were able to arrange funds for its functioning, and with the UK being out of the European Union, they were finding it hard to fight this crisis.
The only solution that the economists could come up with was the Corona Bonds.
Corona bonds are basically risk-sharing instruments through which the risk or debt can spread over the 27 countries of the European Union which will eventually help the less stable countries of Italy, Spain, and others in revitalizing their economy which are the worst-hit countries in this pandemic.
Earlier each state of the EU had a different interest rate for the national debt which they had to pay accordingly. Countries like Germany and Austria with a high credit rating could get national debt easily by the European Investment Bank and could pay off at a very low interest and on the other hand countries like Spain and Italy had to pay a large interest as contrasted with other states due to a moderate credit rating. These corona bonds would make the debt mutual and the interest rate equal for the states for a better revival of the European economy. A lot of political dispute has followed over bonds with countries like France, Italy, Spain the union’s largest economies along with six other countries urging these bonds to be issued they are being strongly opposed by the fiscally stable ones also known as “The Frugal Four”: Germany, The Netherlands, Finland, and Austria.
. . .
These kinds of Eurobonds were also considered during the 2008-2012 debt crisis but did not work because the “Frugal Four” did not agree. Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte necessitated these bonds in March when the situation started getting worse in Italy, he said- “ Europe should respond to this extraordinary crisis and do whatever it takes to support the economies.”
His idea was strengthened by nine countries of the European Union discussed above and they wrote to the European Union collectively demanding the revision of these Eurobonds now “Corona Bonds”. The main demand of these countries is for a common debt instrument to raise funds and initiate cash flow in their economies which are now being disrupted by the coronavirus. Germany and the Netherlands are the fervent opponents to the idea of “Corona Bonds”.
Another reason for their discontent with the theory of these bonds is that issuance of these bonds would breach an establishing principle of The European Union that no country will be held accountable for the debts of other countries. This postulate convinced Germany in the first place to adopt the Euro and breaching this principle would certainly do more bad to the union than it would do well.
Meanwhile, the direct uneasiness from the Frugal Four has forced the European Union to consider an alternative ㇐ that is, the European Central Bank which has notified to launch an extensive bond purchase totaling 750 Billion Euros to give a spark to the economy. This would help the economy but will take a lot of time to completely revive it.
. . .
In the end, I conclude by saying that the crisis this time is around 4.6 times the 2008-2012 debt crisis, forcing the European Union to find a resolution in these dark times. I think that these bonds should be issued as they will represent countries standing with each other and it will motivate other union countries to represent the same solidarity also. If countries cannot stand by each other in these times of crisis then we don't know what the future holds for us, this pandemic is just the beginning of the series of unfortunate events that may happen in the eventuality in which it will be important for nations to stand concurrently.