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The fall

Coming to the present situation, cracks in the Chinese economy are more than prominent now, the emergence of far better manufacturing paradises like India with a much friendlier manufacturing environment and encouraging government along with ample land facilities, skilled labor, and sound legal system are attracting global companies to move out of China. The most prominent in the electronic industry are Samsung and Apple which shifted to India. In the footwear sector- Nike and Reebok are leading examples of companies that shifted to Vietnam.

The debt trap policy is a condemnable disaster with debtor countries on the verge of total collapses like Pakistan and Sri Lanka which owe 77 billion US dollars and 7 billion US dollars respectively and the African and South American countries unable to repay the massive chunk. With loans piling up, China comes under its own debt trap policy.

With the real estate market crash in the recent past, homebuyers are left at the mercy of bankrupt builders with no relief in sight. Property rates have been down by 20 percent this year and the massive Covid outbreaks in manufacturing hubs like Shenzhen are halting economic activity. Apart from this, reduced spending on tourism hits the tourism and service industry. With clear signals of big domestic corporations being dealt with by an iron fist by the current government and promotion of state-owned corporations, foreign investors are taking money off the table leading to a fall in domestic profits and loss of jobs. Such hard-left politically driven policies of scrutiny by the current regime will hamper Chinese corporations like Alibaba and Tencent which have wiped over 1 trillion USD off the market.

Conclusion

Human rights abuses, an authoritarian regime, flawed policies, mounting debt which now stands 3 times the GDP, lack of autonomy and liberty, and Shanzhai culture are just some of the many reasons behind multinationals fleeing and moving to emerging superpowers with a democratic system- India leading the list.

The rule and influence of the dragon are diminishing and with each passing day, the bubble is losing air each passing day, approaching the bubble burst moment sooner than ever.

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Nakshatra Jagannath and Somya Jalan

   St. Xavier's College, Kolkata

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Top of a Chinese pavilion

The Chinese journey- inconsequential to influential to the brink of bursting

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