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Crude Oil - The Opportunity Cost In The Pandemic  

By Chanchal Ajager and Riya Sharma

“Managing one’s monetary expenses in pandemic becomes troublesome with soaring oil prices.”

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"Pandemic" scenarios make social life extremely stressful. In the second wave, the war was quite tricky. Overcoming these difficulties ended the second wave, and people's lives began to improve. But now, with unlocking India, life has been triggered by a sharp rise in oil prices.

Crude Oil 1

BURNING FLAME

India is the world's third-largest consumer of crude oil, accounting for 4.6% of the world's share. Since unlocking, gasoline demand has increased substantially; adding fuel to the fire is the highest fuel tax. Undoubtedly, taxes soared when global crude prices dropped but did not roll back, and OPEC is currently reluctant to adjust prices because it seeks to cut supplies to maximize profits and offset losses caused by the pandemic. Back on the highway, the new gasoline prices have returned to the new normal within a week. For the public, the new rock bottom is 99-100 rupees, a 20% spike compared to 2020. People are struggling with unemployment, health problems, isolation, in short: an unbalanced lifestyle. Adding to it is the stormy inflation rate of around 6.3% in the markets.

On the other hand, there is no signal from the Government to reduce taxes on fuel. Besides, The Union Petroleum and natural gas minister Dharmendra Pradhan said, "They are constantly pushing OPEC and OPEC+ countries to reduce prices." He believes that the taxes collected are applied to various announced development and social plans that will compensate vulnerable groups affected by the pandemic. According to official sources, "the government has increased investment and capital expenditure by 34%". Therefore, The price increase is unlikely to decline in the future. 

Crude Oil 3

CAUSES OF COST OF ARM AND LEG AND ITS IMPACT  

The general public might believe that the international crude oil market plays a vital role in their hefty pocket. But, by adjusting the balance of supply and demand in the international market, OPEC and OPEC+ countries play a minimalist role in India's pricing strategy. Since 2010 gasoline prices have been set by the government and revised every fortnight. The same has been true for diesel since 2017. Currently, according to the Hindustan Times, about 332 of the 730 districts have a model price of 100 rupees or higher per litre. The overall picture of such an increase is the  inclusion of more than 50% tax on Indian crude oil which is shown below:

       

Bifurcating the tax components- 

Due to this tax structure, India’s crude oil prices have recently risen and accelerated, making the pocket worse. Since India imports about 82% of its oil, this has a serious impact on its costs. 

“As consumers are spending more on fuel, it is crowding out expenses on health. Our analysis of SBI card spends indicates that spend on non-discretionary health expenditure has been substantially reduced to accommodate increased expenditure on fuel," Chief Economic Advisor Ghosh said{ ECONOMICS TIMES}

As mentioned above, this means that the population is reducing health, utilities, and food costs due to the high opportunity cost of using gasoline. On the other hand, in the Covid era, the government chose a high crude oil tax as a source of income. In the end, this widened the gap between the various social classes.

Crude Oil 2

Source: Hindustan Times

Further, oil rates have begun to rise faster; a 10% price increase would lead to a 0.50% increase in consumer price inflation. The price of oil per barrel in May 2021 jumped from US$49.8 per barrel in December 2020 to US$74.18 per barrel in June 2021, which means that higher tax breaks have overburdened the shoulders of soaring inflation and impaired the budget. Brings problems to financial households.

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TURN OVER A NEW LEAF 

The disheartening public is seeking remedy in instances of the pandemic. With the general public returning to work, each class is worried about crude oil but is affording it on shrinking residing standards.  There is certainly a want for the rest of the charges as it'd cause intense inflation trouble in the future too.  

Some measures that people can take until rest comes are carpooling and public transportation. But a chief disadvantage to that is the hampering of social distancing norms. Henceforth earlier than the state of affairs becomes worse, the authorities must come into the picture and offer a remedy to the public. One of the principal degrees it could take is to include it below the "Goods and Services tax" list, which may also considerably lessen charges, but government expenditure comes into the scenario. Hence, some other opportunity that may be opted is alternative fuels for vehicles. For example-  The recently inaugurated country's first Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) facility plant at Nagpur. But implantation of such plants needs extra time and huge costs. So, the instant aims to revise the tax structure. For the time being, the authorities have to choose modified tax duties. Otherwise, this may make a contribution to accelerated inflation in the future.

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Riya Sharma.jpg

Riya Sharma

Lakshmibai College, Delhi University

Chanchal Ajager.jpg

Chanchal Ajager

Lakshmibai College, Delhi University

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